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Workshop on Post Pandemic Macroeconomics

The Initiative for Policy Dialogue (IPD) at Columbia University, in partnership with the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation and Columbia’s Center for Political Economy, organized 1.5-day workshop where economists presented their ideas on the topic of Post-Pandemic Macroeconomics. Topics included deep uncertainty, consequences for cyclical behavior and macroeconomic policy of market power, and the post-pandemic/post-war in Ukraine inflationary episode.
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Post-pandemic Macroeconomics

A series of unprecedented shocks has hit the global economy over the past decade and a half, calling into question both the prevailing macroeconomic models and the policies based on them. While some of the shocks (like the pandemic) are exogenous, some are endogenous; but none can be described well as having been drawn from a well-defined probability distribution. Besides, these large shocks occur in an environment of incomplete contracts, leading to macroeconomic inconsistencies that creates ex-post uncertainty (uncertainty about how the inconsistencies will be resolved). Deep or radical uncertainty is at play.

So too, in the movements of markups and markdowns, there is evidence of monopoly and monopsony power, raising the question, how does such power affect macroeconomics, how it responds either to shocks or to policies, how weak or strong are the equilibrating forces returning the economy to full employment with stable prices. These are among the central questions which this conference workshop, part of a larger research program being sponsored by the Hewlett Foundation, hopes to address.

Organizing Committee

Ignacio Gonzalez (American University)

Martin Guzman (Columbia University, SIPA)

Haaris Mateen (Bauer College of Business at the University of Houston)

Juan Montecino (American University)

Joseph E. Stiglitz (Columbia University)

 

Inequality, Business Cycles, and Growth: A Unified Approach to Stabilization Policies

Philipp Wangner,
Alexandre Gaillard

Presentation done by Philipp Wangner for panel on “New Perspectives on the Conduct of Stabilization Policy”

Download Materials >> about Inequality, Business Cycles, and Growth: A Unified Approach to Stabilization Policies
Unbalanced Growth, Elasticity of Substitution, and Land Overvaluation

Tomohiro Hirano,
Alexis Akira Toda

Presentation done by Tomohiro Hirano for panel on “Dynamic Disequilibrium Models, Structural transformation, and Decentralized Adjustments”

Download Materials >> about Unbalanced Growth, Elasticity of Substitution, and Land Overvaluation
SLIDES: Uncertainty in Macroeconomics and Intertemporal Coordination

Joseph Stiglitz,
Martin Guzman

Slides from Martin Guzman and Joseph E. Stiglitz’s introduction for Day 2 of Workshop: Radical Uncertainty

Download Materials >> about SLIDES: Uncertainty in Macroeconomics and Intertemporal Coordination
Life-cycle forces make monetary policy transmission wealth-centric

Paul Beaudry,
Paolo Cavallino,
Tim Willems

Presentation done by Paul Beaudry, for panel on “New Perspectives on the Conduct of Stabilization Policy”

Download Materials >> about Life-cycle forces make monetary policy transmission wealth-centric
Investor Demand, Firm Investment, and Capital Misallocation

Yufeng Wu,
Jaewon Choi,
Xu Tian,
Mahyar Kargar

Presentation done by Yufeng Wu for panel on “Macroeconomics with Corporate Market Power”

Download Materials >> about Investor Demand, Firm Investment, and Capital Misallocation
Dynamic Concern for Misspecification

Giacomo Lanzani

Presentation done by Giacomo Lanzani for panel on “Radical Uncertainty and Economic Behavior”

Download Materials >> about Dynamic Concern for Misspecification
SLIDES: Post Covid Monetary Policy and Inflation

Bruce Greenwald

Bruce Greenwald’s presentation for panel on “Revisiting the Post Pandemic Inflation”

Download Materials >> about SLIDES: Post Covid Monetary Policy and Inflation
A Primer on Radical Uncertainty

John Kay ,
Mervyn King

Presentation done by John Kay for panel on “Policy Frameworks with Radical Uncertainty”

Download Materials >> about A Primer on Radical Uncertainty
Monetary Policy and Radical Uncertainty

Paul De Grauwe,
Yuemei Ji

Presentation done by Paul De Grauwe for panel on “Policy Frameworks with Radical Uncertainty”

Download Materials >> about Monetary Policy and Radical Uncertainty
SLIDES: Financial Wealth, Market Power, and Optimal Corporate Taxation

Ignacio González,
Juan Montecino,
Joseph Stiglitz

Presentation done by Juan A. Montecino for panel on “Macroeconomics with Corporate Market Power”

Download Materials >> about SLIDES: Financial Wealth, Market Power, and Optimal Corporate Taxation
Strategic Savings and Capital Flows

Michael Sockin,
Daniel Neuhann

Presentation done by Michael Sockin for panel on “Macroeconomics with Corporate Market Power”

Download Materials >> about Strategic Savings and Capital Flows
SLIDES: Income distribution and growth: insights from agent-based modelling

Elisa Palagi

Presentation done by Elisa Palagi for panel on “Dynamic Disequilibrium Models, Structural transformation, and Decentralized Adjustments”

Download Materials >> about SLIDES: Income distribution and growth: insights from agent-based modelling
Do Cost of Living Shocks Pass Through into Wages?

Justin Bloesch,
Seung Joo Lee,
Jacob P. Weber

Presentation by Justin Bloesch for panel on “Revisiting the Post Pandemic Inflation”

Download Materials >> about Do Cost of Living Shocks Pass Through into Wages?
SLIDES: Monopoly power, rents, and macroeconomic equilibrium

Joseph Stiglitz

Presentation by Joseph E. Stiglitz to introduce panel on “Macroeconomics with Corporate Market Power”

Download Materials >> about SLIDES: Monopoly power, rents, and macroeconomic equilibrium
SLIDES: Policy in a Deeply Uncertain World

Joseph Stiglitz

Introduction to Day 2: Radical Uncertainty. Based on joint work with Bob Rubin and Peter Orszag

Download Materials >> about SLIDES: Policy in a Deeply Uncertain World
A Theory of Safe Asset Creation, Systemic Risk, and Aggregate Demand

Levent Altinoglu

Presentation by Levent Altinoglu for panel on “Dynamic Disequilibrium Models, Structural transformation, and Decentralized Adjustments”

Download Materials >> about A Theory of Safe Asset Creation, Systemic Risk, and Aggregate Demand
Disinflation programs in chronic-inflation countries: Evidence from Latin America

Martin Rapetti,
Gabriel Palazzo,
Joaquín Waldman

Presentation by Martin Rapetti for panel on “Revisiting the Post Pandemic Inflation”

Download Materials >> about Disinflation programs in chronic-inflation countries: Evidence from Latin America
The Causes of and Responses to Today’s Inflation

Joseph Stiglitz,
Ira Regmi

Presentation by Ira Regmi for panel on “Revisiting the Post Pandemic Inflation”

Download Materials >> about The Causes of and Responses to Today’s Inflation
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